Over the last couple weeks, I’ve been hearing a lot of people saying much the same thing. And it’s simply wrong. So I thought I’d take a minute or two to lay out the particulars of the subject.
It inevitably begins with something on television that people don’t like. They don’t like the politics in football, or they don’t like the State of the Union address. The event under discussion is irrelevant to our discussion today. The statement I’m concerned about is when people talk about lowering the television ratings by not watching.
So here comes the bad news. Unless you are a very special person, nothing you do will have any effect on the ratings of a television show or event. None. Let me repeat that for the folks in back. Unless you are in a very elite minority, watching or not watching a television program will absolutely no effect on its ratings. At all.
I’ll let that sink in for a second.
I know that conventional wisdom says otherwise, but it’s wrong. And here’s why. Television ratings are expressed in a variety of ways. The most common is a simple number. The show scored a 3.4 rating as an example. So what does that number mean? Each rating point equals one percent of the total number of households in the U.S. with televisions. For the 2016-17 program year, the folks at Nielsen estimated that there were 118.4 million such households. So our example rating would mean just over four million homes were watching. Easy right?
Except that the ratings folks aren’t actually paying attention to all 118.4 million homes. At Nielsen, they are actually watching just five thousand homes and basing all the ratings on those numbers. Because televisions are passive receivers, generally speaking, there’s no way to track watching patterns.
So it comes down to this, are you a Nielsen family? No? Then you aren’t being counted. Viewing online is a different beast with different rules. With viewing habits changing rapidly, finding a reliable way of tracking all viewing is the biggest challenge of the moment for the media companies, the ratings companies, and the advertisers who rely on the ratings for their purchases. While the process is better than it was, it is still in the growing phase.
Ratings companies like Nielsen can explain that their five thousand households are carefully chosen to represent the larger audience. It’s a standard statistical process.
In the end, it all comes down to this. Watch or don’t watch. That’s entirely up to you. But it’s not likely that you’ll have any effect on that rating, no matter what you do.
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